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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 200K | $0.500 | $101K | +$1K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Yes | buy | 13.8 | $0.237 | $3.27 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 200K |
| $0.500 |
| $99K |
| -$1K |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 161.07K | $0.243 | $38.74K | -$348.07 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 63.73K | $0.189 | $9.21K | -$2.86K |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 17.34K | $0.396 | $6.85K | -$19.13 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 4.81K | $0.752 | $4.52K | +$901.34 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 4.01K | $0.767 | $3.39K | +$310.98 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.330 | $2.34K | +$1.51K |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 35.04K | $0.041 | $1.98K | +$532.5 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.625 | $1.82K | +$570 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 17.27K | $0.454 | $1.55K | -$6.29K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.4K | $0.648 | $1.31K | +$402 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.780 | $961.5 | +$181.5 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 800 | $0.805 | $773.2 | +$129.2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 515.53 | $0.598 | $492.33 | +$184.27 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 744.9 | $0.329 | $374.31 | +$129.49 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5K | $0.020 | $117.5 | +$17.5 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.346 | $95 | -$251 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.870 | $81.25 | -$5.75 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $71 | -$13 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.450 | $38.5 | -$6.5 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 21.7 | $0.690 | $21.01 | +$6.03 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.370 | $21 | -$1.09K |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 504.17 | $0.090 | $18.65 | -$26.72 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.500 | $12.4 | -$37.6 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.840 |
| $84 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 504.17 | $0.090 | $45.38 | 13d ago |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Trump signs housing bill by end of July?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.001 | $1.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump signs housing bill by end of July?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.020 | $1.68 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump signs housing bill by end of July?Yes | buy | 961 | $0.024 | $22.99 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?Yes | buy | 13.22 | $0.110 | $1.45 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | sell | 243.4 | $0.150 | $36.51 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.140 | $179.56 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.7 | $0.690 | $14.97 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.060 | $600 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.844 | $1.43K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 343.49 | $0.901 | $309.38 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.878 | $1K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 108.85 | $0.938 | $102.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 605 | $0.940 | $568.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.925 | $2.01K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 27.08 | $0.648 | $17.55 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 97.2 | $0.640 | $62.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 485.14 | $0.641 | $310.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 564.1 | $0.831 | $468.6 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.827 | $8.27 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 172.79 | $0.830 | $143.34 | May 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 395.64 | $0.999 | $395.24 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.874 | $1.75K | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 3.19K | $0.220 | $701.36 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.220 | $373.65 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 29.81K | $0.060 | $1.79K | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 9.74K | $0.060 | $584.2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 10.95K | $0.060 | $657.23 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 120.39K | $0.060 | $7.22K | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 31.18 | $0.050 | $1.56 | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.962 | $96.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 9.89K | $0.962 | $9.51K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.230 | $22.77 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 309.57 | $0.500 | $154.79 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 56.04 | $0.470 | $26.34 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 862.41 | $0.740 | $638.18 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.539 | $1.08K | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.532 | $1.06K | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 184.04 | $0.350 | $64.41 | Apr 18, 2026 |