What is the “Will Hamas surrender before February?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Hamas surrender before February? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 31, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, Hamas officially announces a surrender in its conflict with Israel. "Surrender" refers to a formal acknowledgment of defeat, entailing a cessation of all military and hostile activities against Israel, and this must be communicated through an official statement recognized by international authorities or bodies. The market will resolve to "No" if Hamas does not officially declare such a surrender by January 31, 2023. If the event of surrend er occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately. Resolution…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($0) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$9.16K
No sell at 99.0%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Feb 1, 12:00 AM
Showing 48 of 48 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 3 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 1, 7:05 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-surrender-before-february) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
