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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 762.3 | $0.003 | $2.34 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 921.62 |
| $0.930 |
| $857.11 |
| Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | buy | 9.82 | $0.900 | $8.84 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | buy | 321.27 | $0.893 | $286.85 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?No | buy | 237.95 | $0.760 | $180.84 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.977 | $2K | Jan 10, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 3.5K | $0.600 | $2.1K | Jan 10, 2025 |
 New pandemic before July?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.900 | $2.25K | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes | sell | 2.59K | $0.972 | $2.52K | Jan 10, 2025 |
 New pandemic in 2025?No | sell | 4.5K | $0.810 | $3.65K | Jan 10, 2025 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.985 | $4.92K | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.977 | $4.88K | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 4.86K | $0.990 | $4.81K | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 8.5K | $0.990 | $8.42K | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 7.5K | $0.990 | $7.43K | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?Yes | buy | 403.45 | $0.140 | $56.48 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | sell | 3.98K | $0.885 | $3.52K | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.950 | $0.32 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | sell | 2.03K | $0.886 | $1.8K | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.100 | $119.7 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | buy | 139.02 | $0.920 | $127.9 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 434.7 | $0.930 | $404.27 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?No | buy | 202.58 | $0.800 | $162.06 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 109.37 | $0.910 | $99.53 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 241.67 | $0.890 | $215.09 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | buy | 127 | $0.845 | $107.28 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | buy | 907.26 | $0.840 | $762.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?No | sell | 545 | $0.984 | $536.28 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 79.2 | $0.890 | $70.49 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | buy | 69 | $0.780 | $53.82 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?No | buy | 545 | $0.985 | $536.83 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 420.8 | $0.870 | $366.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 500 | $0.680 | $340 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?Yes | buy | 249.75 | $0.273 | $68.25 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | buy | 875 | $0.164 | $143.5 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.665 | $746.06 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?Yes | sell | 950.51 | $0.738 | $701.84 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?No | sell | 287.51 | $0.994 | $285.74 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 178.26 | $0.550 | $98.04 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?Yes | buy | 267.31 | $0.510 | $136.33 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.620 | $2.5 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 801.93 | $0.490 | $392.95 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday?Yes | sell | 224.6 | $0.995 | $223.52 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 630.08 | $0.493 | $310.84 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?Yes | buy | 177.2 | $0.510 | $90.37 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No | sell | 1K | $0.521 | $521.28 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 219 | $0.560 | $122.64 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 137 | $0.550 | $75.35 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?No | buy | 150 | $0.510 | $76.5 | Jan 8, 2025 |