Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US military action against Iran before April?Yes | sell | 73.28 | $0.005 | $0.37 | Mar 30, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 73.29 |
| $0.070 |
| $5.13 |
| Mar 18, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 14.32 | $0.229 | $3.28 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Ye divorce before April?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.290 | $2.32 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 70.49 | $0.490 | $34.54 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 6.0+ earthquake in Mediterranean by next Friday?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.024 | $3.12 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| 6.0+ earthquake in Mediterranean by next Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.023 | $1.15 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.109 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.109 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.109 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.107 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.107 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.107 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Kanye banned on X by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.109 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Ye divorce before April?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.960 | $12 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.289 | $1.6 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 38.95 | $0.960 | $37.39 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?No | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?No | sell | 11.2 | $0.090 | $1.01 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.069 | $0.9 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | sell | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 166.66 | $0.008 | $1.33 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 15.63 | $0.014 | $0.22 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.032 | $0.5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 20.66 | $0.088 | $1.82 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 10 | $0.116 | $1.16 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 10 | $0.072 | $0.72 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 3 | $0.119 | $0.36 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 3 | $0.312 | $0.94 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 12.55 | $0.239 | $3 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | sell | 6.05 | $0.758 | $4.59 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.794 | $5.56 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.392 | $7.84 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.303 | $5 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 16.54 | $0.302 | $5 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |