Analytics
Yes is at 2.2%, down 22 points from 24% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 254 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.4%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 7% on 18 Mar 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “2nd richest person on December 31?”.
$1.23K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $576.75, with a 3.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 52 trades, $43.3 bought Yes and $709.38 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 368 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 95.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 254 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 24.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 367.99 |
| wqidnsjs | Yes | 234.31 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-richest-person-on-december-31
| anyonegen | No | 234.31 |
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 182.22 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 142 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 136.6 |
| PolyJaguar | Yes | 103.95 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 40 |
| 13klklas | Yes | 34.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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