Analytics
Trading ended on 31 Mar 2026 with Yes at 28%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 43 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 15% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%; a month before, 33%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 38% on 1 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “2nd richest person on December 31?”.
The largest Yes position is mildwindow27 with 236 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 91.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 2:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 22.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 236.07 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 150 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-richest-person-on-december-31
| flow-trader-at-optiver |
| Yes |
| 136.6 |
| paspor | Yes | 109.83 |
| anciente | Yes | 81 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 65.96 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 40 |
| Hourglass | Yes | 39.99 |
| quietparcel | Yes | 35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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