Analytics
Yes is at 10.9%, down 17 points from 28% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 237 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.9%; a month before, 11.3%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 8% on 18 Mar 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “2nd richest person on December 31?”.
$5.01 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.09K since listing. The order book holds $677.99, with a 21.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 60 trades, $1.39 bought Yes and $871.67 bought No.
The largest Yes position is PolyJaguar with 416 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 98.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 237 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 28.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 11.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| PolyJaguar | Yes | 415.56 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 159.05 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-richest-person-on-december-31
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 149.99 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 145 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 127 |
| PPMT | Yes | 28.94 |
| GingerMcKenna | Yes | 25 |
| cigarettes | No | 21 |
| Zypf7 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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