Analytics
Yes is at 25.5%, up 1 point from 24.5% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 241 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.1% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 30 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30.2%; a month before, 2.1%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 27.7% on 14 Aug 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “2nd richest person on December 31?”.
$10.48K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $289.36, with a 49.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 83 trades, $266.5 bought Yes and $4.14K bought No; the largest was a $1.76K buy of No at 79.8¢.
The largest Yes position is spacegliderr with 352 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 92.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 241 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 24.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| spacegliderr | Yes | 351.77 |
| 13klklas | Yes | 193.13 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-richest-person-on-december-31
| awgraewrfa |
| Yes |
| 142 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 136.6 |
| Solar Maven E42B | Yes | 82.38 |
| aka41 | Yes | 78.08 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 64.21 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 40 |
| JustBot | Yes | 38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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