Analytics
Yes is at 25%, about where the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 244 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24.6%; a month before, 10.4%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 25.4% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “2nd richest person on December 31?”.
$1.36K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $436.82, with a 49.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 58 trades, $1.11 bought Yes and $824.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is plmr with 402 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 97% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 244 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 25.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 24.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| plmr | Yes | 401.84 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 155 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-richest-person-on-december-31
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. |
| Yes |
| 149.99 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 142 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 136.6 |
| traveloka | Yes | 25 |
| GingerMcKenna | Yes | 25 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| NorthLuopan | Yes | 12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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