What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 2.5¢ and No at 97.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 2.5% for Yes and 97.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 5, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($12.9K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($761.71) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 23 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 89.5% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 27, 10:12 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-databricks-valuation-hit-by-december-31) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?

Market referencewill-databricks-valuation-hit-low-125b-by-december-31Updated 1m ago

financeActive

Closes Jan 5, 2027 UTCprivatesfinance

Yes

2.5%

97.5%

Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢

24h Volume

$12.9K

Liquidity

$762

Closes

Jan 5, 2027 UTC

Yes price

2.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

2.5%

97.5%

24h volume

$12.9K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 2.5¢

Open in terminal$12.9K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

3.0%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

2.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

89%

Yes / No shares

1.03K / 1.03K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

121

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
thecaricature	Yes	519.99	4.2%	$719.99	Jul 23, 3:46 AM UTC
mmmbop	No	506.79	89.4%	$506.79

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

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Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 2.5¢ and No at 97.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 2.5% for Yes and 97.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 5, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($12.9K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($761.71) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

thecaricature

Yes

519.99

4.2%

$719.99

Jul 23, 3:46 AM UTC

mmmbop

506.79

89.4%

$506.79

Trader	Current holding value
mmmbop	$494.12
Anjun	$195
LornaPredicts	$183.41
Flamboyant-Warming	$47.78
SuperTests	$39.01
Elias.Thornwell	$26.81
thecaricature	$13
menagos	$12.72
Welcome2026	$4.88
Rapid Quasar 51BA	$2.16
ma99	$2.14
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	$1.95