Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? | No | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12.7 | +$0.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.1K | $0.837 | $5.11K | May 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 12.13 |
| $0.989 |
| $12.11 |
| +$0.11 |
 Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 8.1 | $0.988 | $8.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 6.61 | $0.998 | $6.61 | +$0.01 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | No | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5.2 |
| $0.961 |
| $5 |
| May 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 28?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 28?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.971 | $6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | May 28, 2026 |
 Evo Morales arrested by May 31?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.830 | $9 | May 28, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.4 | $0.975 | $22.81 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.998 | $6.6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.994 | $11 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.4 | $0.940 | $22 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 27-May 3?No | buy | 22.07 | $0.997 | $22 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 29?No | buy | 25.15 | $0.994 | $25 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 56.68 | $0.989 | $56.06 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.935 | $6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.968 | $5.37 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 7.29 | $0.988 | $7.2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.959 | $2.53 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 9.39 | $0.958 | $9 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.988 | $8 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 56.68 | $0.988 | $56 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.996 | $15 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 US bank failure by December 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% in 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.993 | $12 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 27.29 | $0.974 | $26.58 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 26.57 | $0.840 | $22.32 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?No | buy | 63.76 | $0.960 | $61.2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by September 30?No | buy | 17.14 | $0.875 | $15 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.490 | $1.6 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.955 | $2.86 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be 45% or higher in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 46.01 | $0.999 | $45.96 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 24.72 | $0.975 | $24.1 | Jun 30, 2025 |