
Yes is at 30%, up 1.5 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 13 Nov 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 5 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 28.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 32.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
3.3% ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “Core PCE YoY - October 2026”. 3.2% leads at 61.5%; 3.1% is at 6.3%.
Across the latest 263 trades, $1.21K bought Yes and $1.38K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 81.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 30.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pieped | Yes | 720.02 |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 645.43 |
| Antony82 | No | 500.99 |
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index, bea.gov/news/schedule. Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-pce-yoy-october-2026
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly |
| No |
| 136.4 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 106.57 |
| zeitfi-vault-v2 | Yes | 71.34 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 68.66 |
| Askeladd. | Yes | 64.52 |
| Pariatik | Yes | 63 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 60.83 |
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