Analytics
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in October?
economyActive
Closes Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Yes
1.5%
No
98.5%
Yes costs 1.5¢No costs 98.5¢
24h Volume
$161
Total volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$3.0K
Closes
Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 1.5%, down 34 points from 35.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 14 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 12 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.2%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 1.7% on 4 Nov 2026.
3.0% ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “Core PCE YoY - October 2026”. 3.2% leads at 61.5%; 3.3% is at 30%.
Across the latest 78 trades, $82.69 bought Yes and $1.33K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 77.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 0.4% |
All outcomes
Core PCE YoY - October 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 645.43 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 555.73 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 151.82 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index, bea.gov/news/schedule. Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-pce-yoy-october-2026
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports