Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% or more in October?

Across the 17 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 6 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 12.5% on 4 Nov 2026.

3.4%+ ranks fourth of the 7 outcomes in “Core PCE YoY - October 2026”. 3.2% leads at 61.5%; 3.3% is at 30%.

Across the latest 48 trades, $85.04 bought Yes and $593.8 bought No.

Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.