Analytics
Paper trading
Yes is at 9%, down 7.5 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 12 Sep 2026.
The high was 16.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the low 5% on 13 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 12.5%; a month ago, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5% on 13 Sep 2026.
2.6% ranks fourth of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - September 2026”. 2.4% leads at 43.5%; 2.5% is at 34.5%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.65K since listing. The order book holds $1.78K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 182 trades, $406.74 bought Yes and $2.13K bought No.
The largest Yes position is podairpod with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 3:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 12 Sep 2026 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 16.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.46K |
| podairpod | Yes | 1.14K |
| grinder1011 | Yes | 730.42 |
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution source: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-september-2026
| Mximus |
| No |
| 480 |
| AJSV | Yes | 475.52 |
| simpleman | Yes | 352.83 |
| marksman | Yes | 84.99 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 73.21 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 65 |
| 38791873984189 | Yes | 61.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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