Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 6.8 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 12 Sep 2026.
The high was 8.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the low 0.1% on 22 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 1.7%.
2.1% ranks fifth of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - September 2026”. 2.5% leads at 36.5%; 2.4% is at 33%.
$1.37K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $853.93, with a 2.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $4.46 bought Yes and $473.76 bought No.
The largest Yes position is grinder1011 with 637 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 87.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 9:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 12 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 8.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.16K |
| grinder1011 | Yes | 637.33 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 220.01 |
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-september-2026
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 182.7 |
| quietparcel | Yes | 171.82 |
| AJSV | Yes | 129.13 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 122.18 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever | Yes | 112 |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 97 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 75.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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