Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 24 Sep 2026.
Across the 33 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the price held at 0.4%. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%; a month before, 0.1%.
Chris Van Hollen ranks 39th of the 53 outcomes in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Gavin Newsom leads at 16.9%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 16.1%.
$459.57 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.2M since listing. The order book holds $412.08K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 268 trades, $3.24K bought Yes and $6.49K bought No.
The largest Yes position is de5nuts with 1.27M shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.15M. Ten wallets hold 85.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.15M |
| de5nuts | Yes | 1.27M |
| petanimal | Yes | 171.14K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
40 more outcomes, none above 1.7%.
| OleBobbyBobBob |
| Yes |
| 168K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 141.79K |
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 106.55K |
| uprightuser | Yes | 100K |
| reid99 | Yes | 100K |
| DonKarabas | Yes | 99.96K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 93.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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