Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 26.7K | $0.851 | $25.94K | +$3.21K |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 536.69 | $0.580 | $311.28 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 22.69K |
| $0.573 |
| $9.76K |
| -$3.24K |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 10.7K | $0.903 | $9.53K | -$133.32 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 20.2K | $0.639 | $7.57K | -$5.34K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 44.66K | $0.250 | $6.03K | -$5.16K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.890 | $3.74K | +$180 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 23.49K | $0.270 | $3.68K | -$2.67K |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20K | $0.055 | $3.17K | +$2.06K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15K | $0.079 | $2.81K | +$1.62K |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | Yes | 3.83K | $0.550 | $2.51K | +$402.4 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 15.81K | $0.171 | $2.21K | -$489.2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 4K | $0.430 | $1.72K | $0 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 43.04K | $0.173 | $1.18K | -$6.29K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 3.7K | $0.224 | $943.76 | +$114.54 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5K | $0.240 | $725 | -$475 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.68K | $0.140 | $599.18 | -$476.28 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5K | $0.050 | $225 | -$25 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.107 | $154 | -$274 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.21K | $0.012 | $151.88 | +$53.36 |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 29.87K | $0.005 | $134.41 | -$14.93 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30K | $0.005 | $105 | -$45 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.016 | $95 | -$65 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | Yes | 795.79 | $0.120 | $31.83 | -$63.66 |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.27K | $0.021 | $21.8 | -$129.17 |
| buy |
| 3.83K |
| $0.550 |
| $2.11K |
| 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 820.78 | $0.520 | $426.81 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 730.34 | $0.580 | $423.6 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.230 | $345 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | sell | 8.93K | $0.003 | $26.8 | 11d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.038 | $56.81 | 14d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.140 | $277.14 | 21d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.465 | $491.99 | 21d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 4.93K | $0.120 | $591.82 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 900 | $0.120 | $108 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.120 | $180 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 3K | $0.120 | $360 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.110 | $220 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 7K | $0.870 | $6.09K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.160 | $210.97 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 335.51 | $0.210 | $70.46 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 224 | $0.220 | $49.28 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.400 | $800 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 399.99 | $0.510 | $203.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.520 | $780 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 628.52 | $0.520 | $326.83 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.710 | $1.5K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.701 | $1K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.240 | $480 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.240 | $480 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.520 | $961.14 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 220.16 | $0.510 | $112.28 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.683 | $2K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 589.35 | $0.510 | $300.57 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 824.93 | $0.510 | $420.71 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 4.84K | $0.517 | $2.5K | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.782 | $1.72K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 898.71 | $0.781 | $701.89 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 4.16K | $0.490 | $2.04K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 4.46K | $0.210 | $936.66 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 15.93 | $0.510 | $8.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.240 | $727.57 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 853.96 | $0.450 | $384.28 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 473.1 | $0.120 | $56.77 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 895.26 | $0.400 | $358.1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.435 | $1.01K | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.190 | $384.75 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 9.64K | $0.084 | $810.13 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.085 | $85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 591.51 | $0.402 | $237.78 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 261 | $0.409 | $106.74 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.390 | $497.55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 395.98 | $0.371 | $146.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 1.34K | $0.360 | $484.13 | Jul 19, 2026 |