- What is the “Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will be arrested before 2027?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- Right now Yes trades at 9.5¢ and No at 90.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 9.5% for Yes and 90.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($3.32K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($14.84K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
