What is the “Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved 80k on 31 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

344 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 2, 12:23 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-80k-or-150k-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved 80k: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Market referencewill-bitcoin-hit-80k-or-150k-firstUpdated Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Resolved

80k · settled Jan 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3M

Resolved

80k

Settled

Jan 31, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Feb 2, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

80k

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

344

Wallets

344

Top 10 share

76%

Yes / No shares

473.25 / 261.3K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

272

Loaded notional

$194.02K

80k sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

180

Move

+42 pts

Range

25.5% - 91.1%

Aug 6, 12:00 AM UTC to Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
johnlarx	150k	46.75K	19.9%	$46.75K
8181	150k	41.7K	19.4%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved 80k on 31 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

johnlarx

150k

46.75K

19.9%

$46.75K

8181

150k

41.7K

19.4%

Trader	Current holding value
Calculatedvision	$124.51
doxy	$66.52
decentralize-or-dyy	$30.3
fazlu	$25.07
WissPo	$22.73
Emerald Pioneer CC71	$18
Swift Oracle D4DE	$17.92
Rectangular-Chairman	$12.38
Swift Meteor B11C	$12.21
Fat-Deed	$11.63
25jk	$10.08
Lunar Horizon 7AC0	$10