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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 15.15 | $0.660 | $12.96 | +$2.96 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.560 | $6.36 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.42 |
| $0.490 |
| $5.49 |
| +$2.34 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10.2 | $0.500 | $5.07 | -$0.03 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 9.8 | $0.480 | $4.66 | -$0.05 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 6.9 | $0.580 | $4.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30.3 | $0.330 | $4.38 | -$5.62 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.84 | $0.500 | $2.93 | +$0.01 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $1.37 | -$3.63 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.270 | $0.65 | -$0.7 |
 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 0.51 | $0.210 | $0.07 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 20.82 |
| $0.510 |
| $10.62 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 19.22 | $0.480 | $9.23 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.310 | $2.35 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.600 | $7.69 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.780 | $2.15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.880 | $2.42 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 17.21 | $0.330 | $5.68 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 25.6 | $0.290 | $7.42 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.15 | $0.350 | $4.95 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | sell | 8.49 | $0.650 | $5.52 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | sell | 14.15 | $0.370 | $5.24 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | sell | 18.28 | $0.410 | $7.49 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No | sell | 9.68 | $0.560 | $5.42 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.440 | $5.39 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 8.49 | $0.630 | $5.35 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | sell | 14.52 | $0.370 | $5.37 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | sell | 11.26 | $0.480 | $5.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.350 | $3.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Capitals vs. FlyersFlyers | sell | 5.09 | $0.510 | $2.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | sell | 13.14 | $0.380 | $4.99 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.580 | $5.25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. OilersMaple Leafs | sell | 14.15 | $0.380 | $5.38 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.560 | $2.84 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.61 | $0.510 | $5.41 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | sell | 8.97 | $0.410 | $3.68 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50.55 | $0.088 | $4.44 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?No | sell | 45 | $0.096 | $4.32 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?No | buy | 45 | $0.099 | $4.45 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.430 | $2.73 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.86 | $0.090 | $1.43 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.8 | $0.650 | $7.67 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 18.68 | $0.400 | $7.47 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 16.69 | $0.440 | $7.34 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.62 | $0.320 | $3.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.074 | $11.1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.078 | $11.69 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.15 | $0.370 | $3.02 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | sell | 25.15 | $0.380 | $9.56 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.58 | $0.500 | $7.29 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.074 | $9.25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.076 | $9.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.72 | $0.210 | $3.72 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.73 | $0.220 | $3.9 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.47 | $0.350 | $4.36 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | sell | 8.38 | $0.530 | $4.44 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.430 | $4.38 | Feb 1, 2026 |