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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 497.3 | $0.744 | $350.59 | -$19.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 370.37 |
| $0.540 |
| $183.33 |
| -$16.67 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 800 | $0.211 | $116 | -$53 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 100 | $0.630 | $72.5 | +$9.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 66.59 | $0.847 | $64.35 | +$7.95 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.005 | $55.33 | +$45.33 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.830 | $38.74 | +$5.54 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 33.9 | $0.590 | $17.12 | -$2.88 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.085 | $15.9 | -$1.1 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.055 | $11.55 | +$1.55 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.600 | $9.2 | +$3.2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 160 | $0.039 | $8 | +$1.76 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 160 | $0.073 | $7.52 | -$4.16 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 130 | $0.015 | $4.68 | +$2.73 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 156.25 | $0.064 | $4.14 | -$5.86 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 377.18 | $0.026 | $2.83 | -$7.17 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.050 | $2.1 | -$7.9 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 65.22 | $0.046 | $1.01 | -$1.99 |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 179.78 | $0.028 | $0.81 | -$4.19 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 131.58 | $0.038 | $0.46 | -$4.54 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 78.43 | $0.051 | $0.39 | -$3.61 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 33.9 |
| $0.590 |
| $20 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?No | buy | 55.85 | $0.895 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | buy | 20.86 | $0.959 | $20 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.540 | $200 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 172.94 | $0.230 | $39.78 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.073 | $11.68 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.085 | $17 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.670 | $21.61 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | sell | 114.58 | $0.575 | $65.91 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 181.93 | $0.620 | $112.77 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 31.41 | $0.955 | $30 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.928 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 115 | $0.999 | $114.89 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 212.98 | $0.939 | $200 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.935 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 97.83 | $0.920 | $90 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.415 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.941 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?No | buy | 104.6 | $0.956 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 106.72 | $0.937 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.965 | $289.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |