Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 140 | $0.477 | $67.9 | +$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.785 |
| $46.48 |
| +$7.23 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 140 | $0.210 | $18.9 | -$10.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 69.99 | $0.350 | $16.45 | -$8.05 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 64.52 | $0.930 | $13.87 | -$46.13 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 248.85 | $0.122 | $8.34 | -$22.11 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.580 | $3.92 | -$1.08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.090 | $0.51 | -$1.29 |
| buy |
| 29.99 |
| $0.960 |
| $28.79 |
| 11d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 60 | $0.400 | $24 | 13d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?No | sell | 100 | $0.558 | $55.82 | 13d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on August 25?No | buy | 82 | $0.987 | $80.93 | 15d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 24?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.960 | $72.96 | 16d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21?Yes | buy | 70.89 | $0.964 | $68.34 | 20d ago |
 Solana Up or Down on August 12?Up | buy | 31 | $0.890 | $27.59 | 28d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.790 | $63.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.930 | $60 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.733 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.27 | $0.968 | $68 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia | sell | 51.06 | $0.290 | $14.81 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia | buy | 51.06 | $0.587 | $30 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.882 | $154.44 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Yes | buy | 109.3 | $0.910 | $99.46 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.988 | $395.2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America First" in Rome, GA on February 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.042 | $4.25 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 599.98 | $0.942 | $565.18 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.450 | $4.36 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.7 | $0.560 | $5.43 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19?Up | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.015 | $0.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 124.99 | $0.999 | $124.87 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.800 | $28 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 60 | $0.030 | $1.8 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.049 | $0.05 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 867.66 | $0.920 | $798.25 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 360.74 | $0.921 | $332.38 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.011 | $2.2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 30 | $0.027 | $0.82 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Nov 25, 2025 |