Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 565.64 | $0.884 | $534.53 | +$34.53 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 565.64 | $0.884 | $500 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 532.48 |
| $0.939 |
| $500 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?No | buy | 58.04 | $0.965 | $56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 550.93 | $0.870 | $479.31 | May 31, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 550.94 | $0.780 | $429.73 | May 27, 2026 |
 Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 247.25 | $0.910 | $225 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?Yes | buy | 103.49 | $0.966 | $100 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 281.94 | $0.887 | $250 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?Yes | buy | 452.79 | $0.993 | $449.62 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 153.43 | $0.978 | $150 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 520.83 | $0.960 | $500 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 61.86 | $0.560 | $34.64 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 34.88 | $0.993 | $34.64 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 372.08 | $0.977 | $363.61 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 520.83 | $0.960 | $500 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 102.99 | $0.971 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No | buy | 507.15 | $0.986 | $500 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trove refund ICO participants?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No | buy | 30.78 | $0.975 | $30 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 281.69 | $0.780 | $219.72 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 281.69 | $0.710 | $200 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.760 | $782.59 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.740 | $762 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?No | sell | 506.58 | $0.997 | $505.06 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | sell | 261.7 | $0.998 | $261.18 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 301.2 | $0.996 | $300 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | buy | 201.82 | $0.991 | $200 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | buy | 59.89 | $0.987 | $59.11 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?No | buy | 506.59 | $0.987 | $500 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | buy | 502.01 | $0.996 | $500 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.988 | $1.02K | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.970 | $1K | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 128.5 | $0.934 | $120 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 193.76 | $0.929 | $180 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No | sell | 133.57 | $0.830 | $110.86 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No | buy | 133.58 | $0.749 | $100 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 514.88 | $0.810 | $417.05 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 309.16 | $0.647 | $200 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 423.73 | $0.590 | $250 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloAuger-Aliassime | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 501.5 | $0.997 | $500 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Frax win the USDH ticker?No | buy | 48.11 | $0.977 | $47 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Sky win the USDH ticker?No | buy | 76.44 | $0.877 | $67 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?No | sell | 74.01 | $0.808 | $59.8 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 284.09 | $0.880 | $250 | Aug 30, 2025 |