Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 47 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
The high was 51.5% on 3 May 2026 and the low 1.5% on 21 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.4%; a month ago, 3.6%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 8.5% on 5 May 2026.
It is one of 26 markets under “Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?”.
$484.39 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.43K, with a 4.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 39 trades, $1.25 bought Yes and $223.61 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rapid Kestrel A206 with 111 shares; the largest No position is Manchild with 80.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 278 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Kestrel A206 | Yes | 111.09 |
| Manchild | No | 80.09 |
| moneyemoji | No | 31.02 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
13 more markets, none above 3.4%.
| Stupendous-Beginning |
| No |
| 28.3 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.64 |
| Poised-Barn | No | 15.16 |
| Lunar Maven FAB9 | Yes | 13.9 |
| Worse-Scenario | Yes | 13 |
| saskesas | No | 12.58 |
| technician2 | No | 11.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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