Analytics
Yes is at 1.2%, down 53 points from 54% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
The high was 90% on 19 Jun 2026 and the low 0.4% on 30 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 1.1%; a month ago, 42%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 1.2% on 21 Sep 2026.
It is one of 26 markets under “Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?”.
$23.47K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.22K, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 334 trades, $4.24K bought Yes and $2.06K bought No.
The largest Yes position is JSAFDIHFAKFSKFKSJ with 742 shares; the largest No position is 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 79.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 9:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 54.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 1.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | No | 1.2K |
| JSAFDIHFAKFSKFKSJ | Yes | 741.53 |
| Vivacious-Blackfish | No | 425.05 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
13 more markets, none above 3.5%.
| ooops | No | 367.2 |
| Swift Falcon FD42 | Yes | 337 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 235.62 |
| BuD | No | 195 |
| Ivory Atlas B8F8 | Yes | 183.33 |
| maraya | Yes | 179.09 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 167.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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