Analytics
Yes is at 54%, up 3.5 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
Across the 48 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 45% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%; a month before, 77.5%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 50% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$2.32K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $84.02K since listing. The order book holds $26.59K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 179 trades, $27.85K bought Yes and $6.78K bought No; the largest was a $7.72K buy of Yes at 84.4¢.
The largest Yes position is sichuanhotpot with 9.2K shares; the largest No position is TwoEyes with 9.5K. Ten wallets hold 81.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 50.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 45.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TwoEyes | No | 9.53K |
| sichuanhotpot | Yes | 9.16K |
| messixyz | No | 5.35K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/papertrade-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| vacoolaaa |
| Yes |
| 5K |
| odsowner | No | 3.93K |
| Liquidifier | No | 3.66K |
| aadvark89 | Yes | 2.49K |
| Exitliquid2069 | Yes | 2.35K |
| notssf3 | Yes | 1.73K |
| bbbb323 | Yes | 1.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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