What is the “OpenAI acquired before 2027?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: OpenAI acquired before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
Right now Yes trades at 2.8¢ and No at 97.3¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 2.8% for Yes and 97.3% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($10) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($2.98K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$2.34K
No sell at 95.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 60 min sampling · latest observation Sep 14, 8:06 PM
Showing 60 of 159 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 56 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 65.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 14, 8:08 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/openai-acquired-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
