Question 1

What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: October” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: October Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 31, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Fed decreased by 50+ bps - US federal government shutdown for 15+ days - TikTok sale announced - Hamas released all Israeli hostages - Obama federally charged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct2.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct3.png

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($128.74K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 53 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 91.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 14, 4:44 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-october) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
mgmtv	Yes	17.65K	8.5%	$17.65K	Oct 11, 6:37 AM UTC
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	11.02K	0.1%	$11.02K

Trader	Current holding value
mgmtv	$0
Bright Horizon 81D6	$0
7153649820	$0
spalato	$0
miniminnie	$0
c4-4c	$0
timjones	$0
FergusL	$0
LukeGamma	$0
batsu	$0
SHTC	$0
LeszkoLeszko	$0

Nothing Ever Happens: October

Questions about this market