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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.140 | $140 | Oct 9, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 10.52K |
| $0.029 |
| $300 |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 8?Yes | buy | 735.89 | $0.068 | $50 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberYes | buy | 547.11 | $0.183 | $100 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 365.38 | $0.055 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.066 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 372.59 | $0.027 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.020 | $50 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.046 | $50 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 471.69 | $0.958 | $451.88 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?Yes | sell | 228.75 | $0.750 | $171.56 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?Yes | sell | 195.87 | $0.061 | $11.85 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 195.88 | $0.051 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 228.75 | $0.437 | $100 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?Yes | sell | 170.37 | $0.480 | $81.78 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.114 | $116.65 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | buy | 601.84 | $0.017 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 23 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 78.9 | $0.910 | $71.8 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 23 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 78.9 | $0.810 | $63.91 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 170.38 | $0.176 | $30 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 46.07 | $0.543 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 471.7 | $0.530 | $250 | Jul 22, 2025 |