Latest trade
Oct 9, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:27 AM UTC.
Analytics
FergusL has made $180.56 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 9, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:27 AM UTC.
$50 median trade
Its latest 29 trades covered 22 markets; 79.3% were buys. They run from Jul 22, 2025 UTC to Oct 9, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.140 | $140 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-01 06:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 10:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
29 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 10:27 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-01 06:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $901.59 on “Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Oct 2025. It has traded 22 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 10.52K |
| $0.029 |
| $300 |
| Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 8?Yes | buy | 735.89 | $0.068 | $50 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberYes | buy | 547.11 | $0.183 | $100 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 365.38 | $0.055 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.066 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 372.59 | $0.027 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.020 | $50 | Jul 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.046 | $50 | Jul 27, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 471.69 | $0.958 | $451.88 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?Yes | sell | 228.75 | $0.750 | $171.56 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?Yes | sell | 195.87 | $0.061 | $11.85 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 195.88 | $0.051 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 228.75 | $0.437 | $100 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?Yes | sell | 170.37 | $0.480 | $81.78 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.114 | $116.65 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | buy | 601.84 | $0.017 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 23 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 78.9 | $0.910 | $71.8 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 23 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 78.9 | $0.810 | $63.91 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 170.38 | $0.176 | $30 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 46.07 | $0.543 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 471.7 | $0.530 | $250 | Jul 22, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.