Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89.6%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2025 to 13 Oct 2025, the highest close was 90% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 59.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 80% on 10 Oct 2025. $724.69K traded over the market's life.
306 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 59.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 89.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SpankyMCmuffin | No | 25.99K |
| Blond-Classmate | No | 16.77K |
| 6557a | No | 15.7K |
| SwampRat | No | 8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-all-israeli-hostages-by-october-31
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| joeson | No | 6.34K |
| israelgambler | No | 5K |
| Kdhd | No | 4.4K |
| min7 | No | 4.18K |
| polishit | No | 3.85K |
| Amedro | No | 3.5K |
