
Yes is at 63%, up 13 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 48% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?”.
$266 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.64K since listing. The order book holds $398.27, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 136 trades, $857.46 bought Yes and $1.02K bought No.
The largest Yes position is nehocsrizyvqevuidiavaoca with 432 shares; the largest No position is Olcan with 863. Ten wallets hold 90.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 37 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 2:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 62.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | No | 863.17 |
| nehocsrizyvqevuidiavaoca | Yes | 431.99 |
| Valiko. | Yes | 320 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-6 Sol or GPT-6.1 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Sol (released September 29, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-sol-6pt2-released-byptptpt
| nedex |
| Yes |
| 187.7 |
| AJSV | No | 130.86 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 95.6 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 80 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 49.04 |
| edge999 | No | 45 |
| Poor-Update-Opera | No | 35.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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