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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.850 | $2.57K | +$15 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 620.37 | $0.630 | $390.83 | 6h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.63K |
| $0.882 |
| $2.27K |
| -$44.4 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.533 | $2.25K | +$9.06 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.6K | $0.826 | $2.22K | +$75.01 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.687 | $2.18K | +$317.88 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.95K | $0.530 | $1.96K | +$398.3 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.01K | $0.325 | $1.38K | +$397.13 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 1.42K | $0.839 | $1.28K | +$86.8 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 1.38K | $0.738 | $1.18K | +$157.47 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 2.41K | $0.503 | $1.14K | -$68.69 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.18K | $0.890 | $1.14K | +$94.82 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 1.2K | $0.731 | $1.04K | +$166.39 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 982.2 | $0.900 | $888.89 | +$4.91 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.830 | $855 | +$25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.700 | $725 | +$25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.5K | $0.370 | $712.5 | +$157.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.700 | $685 | -$15 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.96K | $0.121 | $623.18 | -$222.15 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 678.11 | $0.800 | $549.27 | +$6.78 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 426 | $0.680 | $323.76 | +$34.08 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 408.94 | $0.690 | $280.12 | -$2.04 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 438.96 | $0.623 | $265.57 | -$7.97 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 177.47 | $0.771 | $123.34 | -$13.51 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026? | Yes | 325.37 | $0.720 | $117.13 | -$117.22 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 97.69 | $0.808 | $81.08 | +$2.12 |
| buy |
| 562.39 |
| $0.510 |
| $286.82 |
| 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 153.67 | $0.580 | $89.13 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.112 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.112 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.112 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.112 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.112 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.112 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.112 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 121.18 | $0.111 | $13.45 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.110 | $111.15 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 284.83 | $0.510 | $145.26 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.500 | $599.82 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.500 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 232 | $0.390 | $90.48 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 619.77 | $0.400 | $247.91 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.780 | $124.8 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.770 | $10.19 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.740 | $29.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.710 | $4.17 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.62 | $0.630 | $13.62 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.61 | $0.620 | $36.96 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.100 | $0.5 | 1d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.780 | $42.12 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.87 | $0.770 | $38.4 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.6 | $0.760 | $25.54 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 1d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.810 | $16.76 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.117 | $1.17 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 136.37 | $0.116 | $15.82 | 1d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.800 | $24.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.180 | $3.24 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.180 | $5.41 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.03 | $0.170 | $3.41 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.75 | $0.170 | $7.27 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.115 | $1.14 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 37.62 | $0.115 | $4.33 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 256.37 | $0.113 | $28.97 | 1d ago |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | 1d ago |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 271.99 | $0.117 | $31.82 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 725.09 | $0.114 | $82.66 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 66.56 | $0.116 | $7.72 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.8 | $0.170 | $2.18 | 1d ago |