Analytics
Yes is at 95.3%, up 2.3 points from 93% when the market opened on 22 Aug 2026.
The high was 95.3% on 3 Oct 2026 and the low 86.5% on 15 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 92.5%; a month ago, 92.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 87.5% on 23 Aug 2026.
November 30 is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “GTA VI released by...?”, ahead of October 31 at 0.4%.
$2.04K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $79.69K since listing. The order book holds $13.74K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 492 trades, $22.32K bought Yes and $2.81K bought No; the largest was a $2.79K buy of Yes at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Jjw with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is qwertykeyboard with 25K. Ten wallets hold 77.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 53 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 7:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 49 points · 22 Aug 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 93.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 95.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qwertykeyboard | No | 25K |
| Jjw | Yes | 3.53K |
| thoodr | Yes | 3.17K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-released-before-november-2026
| QMG-CORE |
| Yes |
| 3K |
| iamgood898 | Yes | 2.5K |
| Another-Allowance | Yes | 1.9K |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 1.56K |
| IndianPilot | Yes | 1.2K |
| Same-Deodorant | Yes | 1.11K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.03K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
