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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 5K | $0.987 | $4.95K | +$17 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.410 | $30.75 | 9h ago |
|
| No |
| 3K |
| $0.979 |
| $2.96K |
| +$21.5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 2.7K | $0.994 | $2.7K | +$13.5 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 2K | $0.984 | $1.98K | +$11 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | $0.826 | $1.14K | +$64.01 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 900 | $0.956 | $866.25 | +$5.75 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 800 | $0.993 | $794.4 | $0 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 800.32 | $0.794 | $668.27 | +$32.74 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 650 | $0.950 | $623.68 | +$6.18 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? | No | 600.34 | $0.962 | $595.54 | +$18.06 |
 GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 600 | $0.927 | $555 | -$1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 500 | $0.900 | $457.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 469.47 | $0.918 | $438.95 | +$7.94 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | No | 398.85 | $0.906 | $370.13 | +$8.8 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 749.74 | $0.419 | $356.13 | +$42.05 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 660.47 | $0.685 | $346.75 | -$105.9 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026? | No | 353.4 | $0.936 | $341.21 | +$10.23 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 6.5K | $0.027 | $269.75 | +$93.7 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 350.01 | $0.648 | $232.76 | +$5.75 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 200.01 | $0.875 | $187.01 | +$12 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.815 | $163 | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.760 | $149 | -$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.700 | $139 | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.840 | $137.25 | +$11.25 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 250.16 | $0.656 | $120.08 | -$44.02 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.410 |
| $61.5 |
| 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | 13h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.100 | $1 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 150 | $0.640 | $96 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.391 | $39.1 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100.19 | $0.390 | $39.07 | 16h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 47.49 | $0.726 | $34.49 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 54.99 | $0.737 | $40.54 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.640 | $48 | 16h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | 17h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | 18h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.975 | $9.74 | 19h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | 19h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?No | sell | 138.34 | $0.949 | $131.29 | 19h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No | sell | 51.77 | $0.943 | $48.8 | 19h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.943 | $235.76 | 19h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 19h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 20h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | 20h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | 20h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.800 | $32.8 | 20h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 24.58 | $0.260 | $6.39 | 21h ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.890 | $22.25 | 21h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 21h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 21h ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 710.07 | $0.993 | $705.1 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | 22h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.640 | $3.51 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.630 | $10.65 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 46.33 | $0.987 | $45.72 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 25.74 | $0.985 | $25.35 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No | buy | 100.62 | $0.979 | $98.53 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.963 | $38.52 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.964 | $9.64 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.590 | $14.75 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | 1d ago |