Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 42 points from 48% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 117 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 61% on 2 Jul 2026.
$2.98K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.51K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 67 trades, $223.72 bought Yes and $1.04K bought No.
The largest Yes position is EpicFury with 500 shares; the largest No position is DawnOfYemen with 585. Ten wallets hold 89.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 48.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DawnOfYemen | No | 585.38 |
| EpicFury | Yes | 500 |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 500 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-talk-to-joseph-aoun-by
| ToTheWindow |
| No |
| 324.38 |
| Fdavid | Yes | 192.56 |
| Fulgurator | Yes | 177.14 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 135.96 |
| IbnKhaldun | Yes | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 85.63 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 80.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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