Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.130 | $75 | +$10 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.086 | $8.63 | 2d ago |
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| No |
| 399.99 |
| $0.197 |
| $61 |
| -$17.8 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.080 | $34 | +$2 |
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.070 | $16.5 | -$4.5 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 603.2 | $0.325 | $15.38 | -$180.55 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.080 | $13 | -$3 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 499.99 | $0.042 | $12.75 | -$8.25 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 144.79 | $0.085 | $11.22 | -$1.15 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $11 | -$9 |
Graham Platner divorce by October 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.090 | $9.6 | -$8.4 |
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.180 | $7.5 | -$10.5 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state? | Yes | 271.79 | $0.067 | $6.39 | -$11.85 |
Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.023 | $5.25 | -$1.65 |
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.070 | $4.58 | -$5.93 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | Yes | 400 | $0.016 | $3.4 | -$3 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 400 | $0.036 | $3 | -$11.4 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 299.95 | $0.050 | $2.55 | -$12.45 |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 9.79 | $0.270 | $0.83 | -$1.81 |
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 59.41 | $0.100 | $0.03 | -$5.91 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.084 |
| $3.36 |
| 2d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.79 | $0.079 | $0.38 | 2d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.016 | $6.4 | 2d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.042 | $21 | 4d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 87.68 | $0.990 | $86.8 | 11d ago |
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.821 | $8.21 | 11d ago |
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.16 | $0.081 | $6.49 | 12d ago |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | 16d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 19d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.1 | $0.318 | $25.8 | 19d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.330 | $65.9 | 19d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 19d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.253 | $3.8 | 19d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.21 | $0.168 | $21.91 | 19d ago |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | 20d ago |
Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 20d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.384 | $38.4 | 21d ago |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.113 | $0.67 | 24d ago |
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.033 | $0.33 | 27d ago |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.1 | $0.250 | $6.03 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.049 | $0.74 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 399.99 | $0.197 | $78.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Yes | buy | 21.1 | $0.039 | $0.82 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.239 | $16.73 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.238 | $7.14 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 66.35 | $0.033 | $2.19 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.299 | $58.31 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.299 | $1.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 15.27 | $0.038 | $0.58 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.170 | $0.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | buy | 98.01 | $0.074 | $7.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.004 | $5.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 129.38 | $0.270 | $34.93 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.78 | $0.020 | $0.32 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.088 | $66 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.065 | $3.25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.023 | $99.7 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 155.35 | $0.020 | $3.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.035 | $84.51 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 955 | $0.034 | $32.47 | Jul 19, 2026 |