Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 21 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 1.3%. $25.7K traded over the market's life.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 2:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 114.17K |
| Mei-ji | Yes | 11.95K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 3.6K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026
| cool.guide | Yes | 2.5K |
| orifcontex | Yes | 2.5K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 2.23K |
| Brotherinchrist | Yes | 1.66K |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 1.57K |
| ComradeCat | Yes | 1.53K |
| Kaiji123 | Yes | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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