Analytics
Yes is at 3.4%, down 20 points from 23% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 292 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 4.4%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 46.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?”.
$4.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.5K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 110 trades, $12.88 bought Yes and $1.7K bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 249 shares; the largest No position is rando12345 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 292 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 23.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rando12345 | No | 1.1K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 249.32 |
| rocky42019 | Yes | 203 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for DAI-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of DAI below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DAI-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3ADAIUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth DAI-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary DAI information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether DAI was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-before-2027
| Pointed-Wilderness |
| Yes |
| 170 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 140 |
| acal | Yes | 100 |
| whysoseri8us | Yes | 100 |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 98.56 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 77.73 |
| 0x201 | No | 77.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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