Analytics
Yes is at 1.3%, down 7.8 points from 9% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 291 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11% on 4 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.5%; a month before, 1.4%.
It is one of 9 markets under “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?”.
$267.78K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.41K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $142.12 bought Yes and $135.75K bought No.
The largest Yes position is abze with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Swift Beacon 369B with 3.1K. Ten wallets hold 78.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 291 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 9.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Beacon 369B | No | 3.11K |
| abze | Yes | 1.17K |
| acal | Yes | 699.38 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDC-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDC below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDC-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDC-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDC information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDC was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-before-2027
| tsunn |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| Verified.Counts | Yes | 465.45 |
| cyfra | Yes | 430 |
| love2bluff | No | 355.24 |
| rocky42019 | Yes | 300 |
| AJSV | Yes | 204.48 |
| 0xzipper | Yes | 174.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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