Analytics
Yes is at 2.8%, down 26 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 268 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.6%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?”.
$1.55K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.12K, with a 4.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 40 trades, $172.31 bought Yes and $195.93 bought No.
The largest Yes position is acal with 103 shares; the largest No position is rando12345 with 395.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 6:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 268 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 28.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 2.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rando12345 | No | 394.8 |
| acal | Yes | 102.98 |
| cyfra | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for GHO-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of GHO below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the GHO-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AGHOUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth GHO-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary GHO information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether GHO was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-before-2027
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 72.43 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 68.14 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.97 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 18.44 |
| kiddddddd | Yes | 15 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes | 11.88 |
| gaut6375 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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