Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 2 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 276 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 4% on 21 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 24.5% on 7 Jan 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?”.
$16.55K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $744.98, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 237 trades, $987.7 bought Yes and $3.43K bought No.
The largest Yes position is pao111 with 533 shares; the largest No position is 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 with 800. Ten wallets hold 72.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 276 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 15.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 800 |
| love2bluff | No | 542.5 |
| pao111 | Yes | 533.04 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD1USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD1-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD1 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD1 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-before-2027
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 367.87 |
| XieGuangKun | No | 306.06 |
| edwardzs | Yes | 300 |
| cutepandax | Yes | 300 |
| MaxEnt | No | 267.53 |
| Peaceful-Fire-Bell | No | 190.62 |
| rocky42019 | Yes | 143.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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