Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 47 points from 52.5% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
Across the 295 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 6% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%; a month before, 18%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 13% on 6 Jan 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?”.
$1.68K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $544.69, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is pao111 with 400 shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 478. Ten wallets hold 90.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 295 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 52.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 478.32 |
| pao111 | Yes | 400.4 |
| 1dad | No | 319.35 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD0-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD0 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD0-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD0USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD0-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD0 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD0 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-before-2027
| acal |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| cyfra | Yes | 96.35 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 75.21 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 56.37 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| yimashishi | No | 41.5 |
| RogerTopson | No | 34.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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