Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 42 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 25 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 64% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?”.
$19.2K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $35.22K since listing. The order book holds $40.31K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 255 trades, $4.33K bought Yes and $4.91K bought No.
The largest Yes position is thismonth with 6.6K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 6.3K. Ten wallets hold 79.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 11:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thismonth | Yes | 6.6K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 6.25K |
| gobblewobble | No | 3.49K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-26-2026
| ComTruise |
| No |
| 1.93K |
| ssddssd | No | 1.59K |
| leo05me06 | Yes | 1.43K |
| Nippy-Veneer | Yes | 1.43K |
| Jzkdneb | Yes | 1.25K |
| Worthy-Vibration | Yes | 1.19K |
| worldmastersviklissan | Yes | 789.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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