Analytics
Yes is at 76.5%, up 4 points from 72.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 85% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 72.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 85% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?”.
$5.18K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.74K since listing. The order book holds $38.53K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 64 trades, $6.12K bought Yes and $666.78 bought No; the largest was a $1.49K buy of Yes at 92.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Pellepele with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 702. Ten wallets hold 96.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 76.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pellepele | Yes | 1.16K |
| gt197 | No | 702.19 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 505 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-26-2026
| apper |
| Yes |
| 170.78 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 108.82 |
| Used-Leopard | No | 50 |
| akarnet | No | 25 |
| elevate-1.618 | Yes | 24 |
| kellygarcia | Yes | 18.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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