Analytics
Yes is at 96.3%, up 9.3 points from 87% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 96.3% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 87% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 94.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?”.
$1.17K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.32K since listing. The order book holds $37.79K, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $7.06K bought Yes and $127.21 bought No; the largest was a $1.79K buy of Yes at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 7.7K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 3.9K. Ten wallets hold 97.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 87.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 96.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.73K |
| gt197 | No | 3.89K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 1.24K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-26-2026
| Liveisbrutal |
| No |
| 1K |
| coinman2 | No | 661.49 |
| ManakeMega | No | 502 |
| 196874353278 | No | 314.5 |
| apper | Yes | 162.89 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
| ADENAWER809 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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