Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 16 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 37% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12% on 23 Oct 2026. The current quote, 11.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 12% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 37% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?”.
$1.28K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.41K since listing. The order book holds $37.66K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $172.7 bought Yes and $224.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is PatoBlindado with 426 shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 700.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 27.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddssd | No | 700 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 605.82 |
| PatoBlindado | Yes | 426 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-26-2026
| easyclap |
| Yes |
| 297.82 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 249.67 |
| Clear-Gelding | Yes | 200 |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 160 |
| klx | No | 14.19 |
| sadfsadf | No | 10 |
| Coral Orbit 8004 | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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