Analytics
Yes is at 98.8%, about where the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.8% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 98.3% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?”.
$1.72K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $28.66K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 1.7K.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 7:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 98.3% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 98.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | No | 1.72K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 1.72K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-26-2026
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