Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, up 18 points from 12.5% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 33% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 33% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 10?”.
$42.85 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $187.85 since listing. The order book holds $25.45K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Neat-Focus with 105 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 135.
Trading closes on 10 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 12.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 30.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 134.63 |
| Neat-Focus | Yes | 105 |
| hfrozendancer | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-10-2026
| 5f5a |
| No |
| 19 |
| Colossal-Shelter | Yes | 15.63 |
| binaryblitz1 | No | 10.23 |
| easypredict | Yes | 5 |
| assterion | No | 5 |
| docblunt | Yes | 3.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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